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Author Topic: Is anyone curious about this snowy weather?  (Read 65142 times)

Ratrod

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Re: Is anyone curious about this snowy weather?
« Reply #90 on: January 10, 2010, 02:45:35 PM »
Funny, but food fot thought: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qOOc5yiIWkg

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dave_mc

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Re: Is anyone curious about this snowy weather?
« Reply #91 on: January 10, 2010, 10:01:35 PM »
That's why they make money or raise funding or fame by hitching their waggon to the Climate Change agenda...

You "sell" what you've got and scientists are no different.

It's a hell of a lot easier to find funding for research with any link to "climate change" - so guess what is being researched?


easier to get research money, perhaps. But that research money won't be dependent on the results. If anything, it'd be a lot easier for the governments if climate change weren't true, as I already said, and which no-one has already provided a sufficient counter-argument to.

(a) It doesn't matter how many scientists are for or against. Science is not a democracy. (b) Most scientists used to believe the earth was flat. (c) They used to believe the sun orbited the earth.

(d) Not too long ago scientists said you couldn't survive speeds over 60 Mph. In the early 50's scientists said we could go through the sound barrier.

(e) There only has to be one scientist who can prove that all others are wrong.

(f) Do read those hacked emails. You don't need to read all of them, a couple of dozen is enough to realise that they didn't manipulate a little bit but a whole lot.

Russia wants an investigation too. They gave tons of meteo data and those climate hoaxers only used a quarter of that data. I bet they left out all the data from Siberia.

(g) But it doesn't even matter how much they manipulated the data. Even the slightest manipulation would drop the scientific value to 0.0.

(h) Environmantalism is a religion, not a science.

(a) oh, i agree. But the fact that the vast majority of scientists think it's true, after looking at the evidence, suggests there might be something in it.

(b) that is not true. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Myth_of_the_Flat_Earth

even if it were (and it's not), it was so long ago I don't think you can even call them scientists, as their methods were so different from the current scientific method.

(c) nor is that.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heliocentrism

and copernicus was the first modern(ish) astronomer to suggest the earth went round the sun, in 1543. Again, that's so far away from modern scientific method, that I'd say it hardly counts. The church was presumably also a major reason why a lot of people were against that theory.

(d) wasn't that around the time of the first steam trains? Again, that's quite a while ago.

(e) of course. But that happens a lot less frequently now than in the past (apart from anything there are a lot more scientists, and the scientific method is a lot more rigorous, we have much better analytical equipment, etc. etc.)

(f) do you have a link to them?

(g) that depends on what you mean by "manipulate". "Manipulate" can be used to mean just processing data, in a scientific context, for example. And again, i disagree with your assertion that any manipulation means the data has to be chucked out.

(h) I would probably agree, but there's a difference between environmentalists and climate change scientists.

Sifu Ben

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Re: Is anyone curious about this snowy weather?
« Reply #92 on: January 10, 2010, 10:09:33 PM »
^ I'd like to see a citation for that because, y'know, it sounds made up.

All so called experts on any subject make money from their thoughts on that subject.

that's possibly true, but you stand to make an awful lot more if you have something to sell (most scientists don't, those working at universities, anyway). Also, science isn't based on what people have to say, it's based on evidence. You won't get a paper published (in a reputable journal, anyway) unless you can replicate the results etc. etc.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8377128.stm
This is one of the problems with this issue? What possible definition of hottest are they using? The temperature never went above thirty and dropped to -8-10 in February for 2-3 weeks
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Johnny Mac

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Re: Is anyone curious about this snowy weather?
« Reply #93 on: January 10, 2010, 10:23:48 PM »
I doubt the government is getting that many green taxes. Sure, it helps, and I agree that it's a handy way to get a little extra, but it's not going to be the end of the world if they don't get it.
Dave mc ^ quote


Dave, landfill tax is over 40 quid per tonne, then you have to add the actual cost of landfill per tone to the company running the site. It's coming in at nearly 70 quid a tone with VAT. The tax goes up every financial year. The Gov' make more money than everyone involved with disposing of waste responsibly and they do nothing for it. No initiatives for alternatives, just take take take. Those costs are paid by local councils too. They pass those costs on to you in council tax. They are tearing the arse out of green issues in tax! If they don't get paid, they send people around to collect. They like fffing gangsters! There is cr@p being slung all over industrial estates because its too expensive to take to a transfer station. That's not green its pollution caused by greed.
« Last Edit: January 10, 2010, 10:27:49 PM by Johnny Mac »
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Johnny Mac

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Re: Is anyone curious about this snowy weather?
« Reply #94 on: January 10, 2010, 10:29:04 PM »
Dave is Gordon in disguise.
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Philly Q

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Re: Is anyone curious about this snowy weather?
« Reply #95 on: January 10, 2010, 10:29:27 PM »
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8377128.stm
This is one of the problems with this issue? What possible definition of hottest are they using? The temperature never went above thirty and dropped to -8-10 in February for 2-3 weeks

They're using an average, surely.  It wasn't the "barbecue summer" people keep going about, and it actually rained on a lot of the warm days, but here in the south east the (daytime) temperature was 20+ degrees pretty much all the way through from May to the end of September - and at times it was much higher than that.  There were some little warm spells in April and October too.
« Last Edit: January 10, 2010, 10:31:43 PM by Philly Q »
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Johnny Mac

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Re: Is anyone curious about this snowy weather?
« Reply #96 on: January 10, 2010, 10:33:05 PM »
Nothing unusual about that is there ^
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Philly Q

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Re: Is anyone curious about this snowy weather?
« Reply #97 on: January 10, 2010, 10:47:47 PM »
Nothing unusual about that is there ^

I don't know if there is or not, I don't know the year-on-year averages. 

But as someone who hates hot weather, it does seem to me that the "summer" is getting longer and longer.  I used to think of it as June to August, with all the really uncomfortable days in July/August, but now I feel like I'm suffering for a full five months or more.

(That's just a non-scientific personal observation, obviously.  I should probably move North.... )
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Johnny Mac

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Re: Is anyone curious about this snowy weather?
« Reply #98 on: January 10, 2010, 10:53:24 PM »
Nothing unusual about that is there ^

I don't know if there is or not, I don't know the year-on-year averages. 

But as someone who hates hot weather, it does seem to me that the "summer" is getting longer and longer.  I used to think of it as June to August, with all the really uncomfortable days in July/August, but now I feel like I'm suffering for a full five months or more.

(That's just a non-scientific personal observation, obviously.  I should probably move North.... )

Nothings changed to my experiences, I've work outdoors for the last 20 years.
Its humidity that makes the summer uncomfortable buts that's normal for us.

Yes Scotland is milder but they have Midges! Sweden, Finland, and do yourself up like a panda for a beer on a friday night  down The Putrefied  Viking!
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dave_mc

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Re: Is anyone curious about this snowy weather?
« Reply #99 on: January 10, 2010, 11:25:28 PM »
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8377128.stm
This is one of the problems with this issue? What possible definition of hottest are they using? The temperature never went above thirty and dropped to -8-10 in February for 2-3 weeks

average, presumably. one slightly-hotter-than-normal day is hardly likely to melt the polar ice caps, nor is one slightly colder one likely to refreeze what's been lost.

I doubt the government is getting that many green taxes. Sure, it helps, and I agree that it's a handy way to get a little extra, but it's not going to be the end of the world if they don't get it.
Dave mc ^ quote


Dave, landfill tax is over 40 quid per tonne, then you have to add the actual cost of landfill per tone to the company running the site. It's coming in at nearly 70 quid a tone with VAT. The tax goes up every financial year. The Gov' make more money than everyone involved with disposing of waste responsibly and they do nothing for it. No initiatives for alternatives, just take take take. Those costs are paid by local councils too. They pass those costs on to you in council tax. They are tearing the arse out of green issues in tax! If they don't get paid, they send people around to collect. They like fffing gangsters! There is cr@p being slung all over industrial estates because its too expensive to take to a transfer station. That's not green its pollution caused by greed.

i agree that that sucks, but my point still stands:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:UK_taxes.svg

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hey, i hate new labour. :lol:
« Last Edit: January 10, 2010, 11:27:08 PM by dave_mc »

Ratrod

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Re: Is anyone curious about this snowy weather?
« Reply #100 on: January 11, 2010, 11:50:21 AM »
Quote
as their methods were so different from the current scientific method.

That's what you grandchildren will say about today's science.

You might say that it was old science but back then there was some serious comprehension of mathematics.

The methods of science hasn't changed that much, the technology has.

And you sill haven't read those hacked emails, have you?

It's very clear that they left out the data that doesn't support their theory.

Quote
easier to get research money, perhaps. But that research money won't be dependent on the results. If anything, it'd be a lot easier for the governments if climate change weren't true, as I already said, and which no-one has already provided a sufficient counter-argument to.

Perhaps? For sure! This has become a multi-billion dollar industry. Governments and even companies have found out this is a great way to generate more money from the people. Extra taxes on fuel, energy, cars, road tax, consumer goods, packaging etc. all because of the environment. This amounts to billions in my country alone.

The article about the russian data was in some UK paper.

This feels like a discussion with a religious fundamentalist.

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Philly Q

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Re: Is anyone curious about this snowy weather?
« Reply #101 on: January 11, 2010, 12:01:06 PM »
This feels like a discussion with a religious fundamentalist.

I have to say you're coming across as a very hardline sceptic.  Fundamentalist, even.
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Afghan Dave

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Re: Is anyone curious about this snowy weather?
« Reply #102 on: January 11, 2010, 12:03:49 PM »
I listened to a fantastic debate about the similarities of many of these climate change beliefs to a religion...

There are many.

And many of these secular arguments quoted above bring Pascals Wager to mind.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pascal%27s_Wager

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ToneMonkey

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Re: Is anyone curious about this snowy weather?
« Reply #103 on: January 11, 2010, 02:32:08 PM »
One of my mates in a BIg fundamentalist.  It doesn't seem to matter what about, but you give him a widely accepeted view and he'll be a fundamentalist against it.  Climate Change is his latest get up and he thinks it's all bollox, using a couple of weakly held arguments to prove that it's all wrong.  People keep using arguments that focus on one of the issues, or one of the variables in what is a very complicated process and think that the little snap shot that they are looking at proves or disprocvves the whole theory.

At the end of the day, I don't think you can keep pumping stuff into what is a finite atmosphere and not expect something to happen.  It's like doing lots of little farts under the duvet, you might get away with it for a bit, but sooner or later it's going to smell of shite.
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dave_mc

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Re: Is anyone curious about this snowy weather?
« Reply #104 on: January 11, 2010, 09:13:52 PM »
^ +1

(a) That's what you grandchildren will say about today's science.

(b) You might say that it was old science but back then there was some serious comprehension of mathematics.

(c) The methods of science hasn't changed that much, the technology has.

(d) And you sill haven't read those hacked emails, have you?

It's very clear that they left out the data that doesn't support their theory.

Quote
easier to get research money, perhaps. But that research money won't be dependent on the results. If anything, it'd be a lot easier for the governments if climate change weren't true, as I already said, and which no-one has already provided a sufficient counter-argument to.

(e) Perhaps? For sure! This has become a multi-billion dollar industry. Governments and even companies have found out this is a great way to generate more money from the people. Extra taxes on fuel, energy, cars, road tax, consumer goods, packaging etc. all because of the environment. This amounts to billions in my country alone.

The article about the russian data was in some UK paper.

(f) This feels like a discussion with a religious fundamentalist.



(a) that's unlikely. Most of the modern scientific method hasn't changed all that much in the past 50 years.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_history_of_scientific_method

(b) is that relevant? Just because you can do maths doesn't mean that your scientific method is rigorous. Plus it's not like we haven't come up with a lot more advanced maths recently.

(c) actually, the method has changed quite a bit. They only came up with the double blind (if that wiki link i posted is to be believed) in 1950. That's a fairly big one right there, in the field of medicine.

(d) i asked you if you had a link a while back, you didn't answer. I'll see if i can find them myself and report back.

(e) multi-billion dollar? really? Don't get me wrong, I agree that the govt is jumping on the bandwagon, as are a lot of companies which are "greenwashing" (as wikipedia seems to think the term is called). But in terms of actually making money out of environmentalism, it doesn't make sense. I listed the breakdown of the UK tax revenues a couple of posts back, and it showed that what the government got from green taxes, while not to be sneezed at, was a very small proportion of the total revenue. If you can explain to me how companies can make a killing out of environmentalism, with its central tenets of consuming (and hence selling) MUCH MUCH LESS STUFF, cleaning up after your polluting processes (which costs money, a lot of money, not to mention time and effort), helping to recycle old products (ditto) versus the status quo in capitalism which is to sell people as much stuff as they don't need as you can, while spending as little of your own money as possible in customer service/after sales/eco issues, then I'm all ears.

I can't speak about holland, but there was road tax, car tax, VAT, etc. etc. etc. here long before environmental issues became mainstream. Vehicle excise duty in the UK was introduced in 1888, and was introduced specifically for cars in 1920 (according to wiki).

(f) ooh, an ad hominem, nice. Right back atcha. You (by that i mean the climate-change deniers, not you personally) are using the exact same arguing and debating techniques which creationists use.

I listened to a fantastic debate about the similarities of many of these climate change beliefs to a religion...

There are many.

And many of these secular arguments quoted above bring Pascals Wager to mind.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pascal%27s_Wager

The hot marketing ticket is "Greenwash" and no-one is immune.

that's possibly true, but as i already said, there's a difference between disagreeing with how to fight climate change, and refusing to accept that it's happening, just as there's a difference between the guys in greenpeace and the scientists actually doing the research.
« Last Edit: January 11, 2010, 09:15:45 PM by dave_mc »